2025 Week 1 FINAL · Neutral site
USC at TCU
Tuesday, December 30, 2025 · 8:00 PM CST
Alamodome
27
USC
Final
30
TCU
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC | 3 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 |
| TCU | 0 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 30 |
GIE pre-game call: USC at 75%. Miss.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
USC
Big Ten
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 16.9
- National rank
- 16
- Proj. wins
- 7.7
- Playoff prob.
- 17%
TCU
Big 12
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 8.3
- National rank
- 37
- Proj. wins
- 6.8
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
USC
75%
TCU
25%
TCU 90% CI: 19% – 33% Δ rating 8.6
USC is the model's favorite at 75%. TCU has a 25% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Tuesday, December 30, 2025 · 8:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Alamodome
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- Yes