2025 Week 1 FINAL · Neutral site
Tennessee at Illinois
Tuesday, December 30, 2025 · 4:30 PM CST
Nissan Stadium
28
Tennessee
Final
30
Illinois
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | 7 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 28 |
| Illinois | 7 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 30 |
GIE pre-game call: Tennessee at 57%. Miss.
Recaps
Tennessee
SEC
- Record
- 8-5
- Rating
- 15.0
- National rank
- 19
- Proj. wins
- 7.3
- Playoff prob.
- 10%
Illinois
Big Ten
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 12.9
- National rank
- 24
- Proj. wins
- 7.8
- Playoff prob.
- 4%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Tennessee
57%
Illinois
43%
Illinois 90% CI: 35% – 53% Δ rating 2.1
Tennessee is the model's favorite at 57%. Illinois has a 43% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Tuesday, December 30, 2025 · 4:30 PM CST
- Venue
- Nissan Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- Yes