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2025 Week 1 FINAL · Neutral site

Virginia at Missouri

Sunday, December 28, 2025 · 12:30 AM UTC

EverBank Stadium

13
Virginia
Final
7
Missouri
Team 1234 T
Virginia 03100 13
Missouri 7000 7

GIE pre-game call: Missouri at 60%. Miss.

Recaps

Virginia
ACC
Record
11-3
Rating
11.1
National rank
31
Proj. wins
8.6
Playoff prob.
9%
Missouri
SEC
Record
8-5
Rating
14.4
National rank
21
Proj. wins
7.1
Playoff prob.
7%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Virginia
40%
Missouri
60%
Missouri 90% CI: 51% – 69% Δ rating 3.3

Missouri is the model's favorite at 60%. Virginia has a 40% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).

Game info

Kickoff
Sunday, December 28, 2025 · 12:30 AM UTC
Venue
EverBank Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
Yes

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