2025 Week 1 FINAL · Neutral site
North Texas at San Diego State
Saturday, December 27, 2025 · 4:45 PM CST
University Stadium (NM)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas | 21 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 49 |
| San Diego State | 6 | 14 | 0 | 27 | 47 |
GIE pre-game call: North Texas at 71%. Hit.
Recaps
- San Diego State recap
San Diego State: 2025 Week 16 recap
San Diego State sits at No. 43 overall with a 9–4 record and a GIE rating of 6.7. The Aztecs took a loss to New Mexico last week, falling 23–17 on the road in Week 14—a result that underscores the tightness of the Pac-12 middle tier. That…
- North Texas recap
North Texas: 2025 Week 16 recap
North Texas sits at 22nd overall with a 12–2 record and a rating of 13.8, but last week's 34–21 loss to Tulane stung. The Mean Green came in as the away team and couldn't generate enough offense when it mattered, falling short in a…
- Record
- 12-2
- Rating
- 13.8
- National rank
- 22
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 13%
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 6.7
- National rank
- 43
- Proj. wins
- 7.1
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
North Texas is the model's favorite at 71%. San Diego State has a 29% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, December 27, 2025 · 4:45 PM CST
- Venue
- University Stadium (NM)
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- Yes