2025 Week 1 FINAL · Neutral site
Miami (OH) at Fresno State
Saturday, December 27, 2025 · 3:30 PM CST
Arizona Stadium
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (OH) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Fresno State | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 18 |
GIE pre-game call: Fresno State at 66%. Hit.
Recaps
- Miami (OH) recap
Miami (OH): 2025 Week 16 recap
Miami (OH) sits at 7–7 after dropping a road contest to Western Michigan, 23–13, in Week 15. The RedHawks' rating stands at –3.4, placing them 82nd in GIE's assessment—a position that reflects a season caught between competitiveness and…
- Fresno State recap
Fresno State: 2025 Week 16 recap
Fresno State sits at 9–4 with a 1.8 rating and rank 66 overall after dismantling San José State 41–14 in Week 14. The Bulldogs have built a solid mid-tier profile through late November, mixing wins against weaker competition with enough…
- Record
- 7-7
- Rating
- -3.4
- National rank
- 82
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 1.8
- National rank
- 66
- Proj. wins
- 6.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Fresno State is the model's favorite at 66%. Miami (OH) has a 34% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, December 27, 2025 · 3:30 PM CST
- Venue
- Arizona Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- Yes