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2025 Week 1 FINAL · Neutral site

New Mexico at Minnesota

Friday, December 26, 2025 · 3:30 PM CST

Chase Field

17
New Mexico
Final
20
Minnesota
Team 1234OT T
New Mexico 33083 17
Minnesota 07076 20

GIE pre-game call: Minnesota at 52%. Hit.

Recaps

New Mexico
Mountain West
Record
9-4
Rating
0.9
National rank
73
Proj. wins
7.3
Playoff prob.
0%
Minnesota
Big Ten
Record
8-5
Rating
1.5
National rank
70
Proj. wins
5.4
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

New Mexico
48%
Minnesota
52%
Minnesota 90% CI: 43% – 61% Δ rating 0.6

Minnesota is the model's favorite at 52%. New Mexico has a 48% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, December 26, 2025 · 3:30 PM CST
Venue
Chase Field
Conference game
No
Neutral site
Yes

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