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2025 Week 1 FINAL

California at Hawai'i

Wednesday, December 24, 2025 · 7:00 PM CST

Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

31
California
Final
35
Hawai'i
Team 1234 T
California 714010 31
Hawai'i 010322 35

GIE pre-game call: Hawai'i at 76%. Hit.

Recaps

California
ACC
Record
7-6
Rating
-3.2
National rank
80
Proj. wins
5.3
Playoff prob.
0%
Hawai'i
Mountain West
Record
9-4
Rating
1.7
National rank
68
Proj. wins
8.0
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

California
24%
Hawai'i
76%
Hawai'i 90% CI: 69% – 82% Δ rating 4.9

Hawai'i is the model's favorite at 76%. California has a 24% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.3 rating points baked in for Hawai'i — venue-specific learned value (n=26 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Wednesday, December 24, 2025 · 7:00 PM CST
Venue
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No

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