2025 Week 1 FINAL · Neutral site
Western Kentucky at Southern Miss
Tuesday, December 23, 2025 · 4:30 PM CST
Caesars Superdome
27
Western Kentucky
Final
16
Southern Miss
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 27 |
| Southern Miss | 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
GIE pre-game call: Western Kentucky at 75%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Western Kentucky
Conference USA
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 1.6
- National rank
- 69
- Proj. wins
- 0.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Southern Miss
Sun Belt
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- -7.1
- National rank
- 94
- Proj. wins
- 1.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Western Kentucky
75%
Southern Miss
25%
Southern Miss 90% CI: 19% – 33% Δ rating 8.7
Western Kentucky is the model's favorite at 75%. Southern Miss has a 25% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Tuesday, December 23, 2025 · 4:30 PM CST
- Venue
- Caesars Superdome
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- Yes