2025 Week 1 FINAL · Neutral site
Troy at Jacksonville State
Tuesday, December 16, 2025 · 8:00 PM CST
Cramton Bowl
13
Troy
Final
17
Jacksonville State
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Jacksonville State | 7 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 17 |
GIE pre-game call: Troy at 56%. Miss.
Recaps
Troy
Sun Belt
- Record
- 8-6
- Rating
- -4.8
- National rank
- 87
- Proj. wins
- 1.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Jacksonville State
Conference USA
- Record
- 9-5
- Rating
- -6.7
- National rank
- 92
- Proj. wins
- 1.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Troy
56%
Jacksonville State
44%
Jacksonville State 90% CI: 35% – 53% Δ rating 1.9
Troy is the model's favorite at 56%. Jacksonville State has a 44% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Tuesday, December 16, 2025 · 8:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Cramton Bowl
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- Yes