2025 Week 15 FINAL
Troy at James Madison
Friday, December 5, 2025 · 6:00 PM CST
Bridgeforth Stadium
14
Troy
Final
31
James Madison
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| James Madison | 3 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 31 |
GIE pre-game call: James Madison at 94%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Troy
Sun Belt
- Record
- 8-6
- Rating
- -4.8
- National rank
- 87
- Proj. wins
- 1.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
James Madison
Sun Belt
- Record
- 12-2
- Rating
- 12.3
- National rank
- 27
- Proj. wins
- 1.8
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Troy
6%
James Madison
94%
James Madison 90% CI: 91% – 95% Δ rating 17.1
James Madison is the model's favorite at 94%. Troy has a 6% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.3 rating points baked in for James Madison — venue-specific learned value (n=21 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, December 5, 2025 · 6:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Bridgeforth Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No