2025 Week 15 FINAL · Neutral site
Duke at Virginia
Saturday, December 6, 2025 · 7:00 PM CST
Bank of America Stadium
27
Duke
Final
20
Virginia
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 27 |
| Virginia | 0 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 20 |
GIE pre-game call: Virginia at 64%. Miss.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Duke
ACC
- Record
- 9-5
- Rating
- 6.6
- National rank
- 44
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Virginia
ACC
- Record
- 11-3
- Rating
- 11.1
- National rank
- 31
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 9%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Duke
36%
Virginia
64%
Virginia 90% CI: 55% – 72% Δ rating 4.5
Virginia is the model's favorite at 64%. Duke has a 36% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, December 6, 2025 · 7:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Bank of America Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- Yes