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2025 Week 1 FINAL · Neutral site

Miami at Ole Miss

Thursday, January 8, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST

State Farm Stadium

31
Miami
Final
27
Ole Miss
Team 1234 T
Miami 314014 31
Ole Miss 013311 27

GIE pre-game call: Ole Miss at 60%. Miss.

Recaps

Miami
ACC
Record
13-3
Rating
20.7
National rank
9
Proj. wins
9.4
Playoff prob.
61%
Ole Miss
SEC
Record
13-2
Rating
24.0
National rank
7
Proj. wins
8.6
Playoff prob.
80%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Miami
40%
Ole Miss
60%
Ole Miss 90% CI: 51% – 69% Δ rating 3.3

Ole Miss is the model's favorite at 60%. Miami has a 40% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).

Game info

Kickoff
Thursday, January 8, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST
Venue
State Farm Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
Yes

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