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2025 Week 1 FINAL · Neutral site

Oregon at Indiana

Friday, January 9, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

22
Oregon
Final
56
Indiana
Team 1234 T
Oregon 7087 22
Indiana 1421714 56

GIE pre-game call: Indiana at 69%. Hit.

Recaps

Oregon
Big Ten
Record
13-2
Rating
25.9
National rank
4
Proj. wins
9.3
Playoff prob.
92%
Indiana
Big Ten
Record
16-0
Rating
32.4
National rank
1
Proj. wins
10.1
Playoff prob.
100%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Oregon
31%
Indiana
69%
Indiana 90% CI: 61% – 77% Δ rating 6.5

Indiana is the model's favorite at 69%. Oregon has a 31% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, January 9, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST
Venue
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
Yes

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