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2025 Week 1 FINAL · Neutral site

Alabama at Indiana

Thursday, January 1, 2026 · 3:00 PM CST

Rose Bowl

3
Alabama
Final
38
Indiana
Team 1234 T
Alabama 0030 3
Indiana 017714 38

GIE pre-game call: Indiana at 90%. Hit.

Recaps

Alabama
SEC
Record
11-4
Rating
14.8
National rank
20
Proj. wins
6.9
Playoff prob.
10%
Indiana
Big Ten
Record
16-0
Rating
32.4
National rank
1
Proj. wins
10.1
Playoff prob.
100%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Alabama
10%
Indiana
90%
Indiana 90% CI: 86% – 93% Δ rating 17.6

Indiana is the model's favorite at 90%. Alabama has a 10% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).

Game info

Kickoff
Thursday, January 1, 2026 · 3:00 PM CST
Venue
Rose Bowl
Conference game
No
Neutral site
Yes

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