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2025 Week 14 FINAL · Conference game

Ball State at Miami (OH)

Saturday, November 29, 2025 · 11:00 AM CST

Yager Stadium

24
Ball State
Final
45
Miami (OH)
Team 1234 T
Ball State 100014 24
Miami (OH) 211077 45

GIE pre-game call: Miami (OH) at 93%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Ball State
Mid-American
Record
4-8
Rating
-23.0
National rank
132
Proj. wins
2.9
Playoff prob.
0%
Miami (OH)
Mid-American
Record
7-7
Rating
-3.4
National rank
82
Proj. wins
6.7
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Ball State
7%
Miami (OH)
93%
Miami (OH) 90% CI: 90% – 95% Δ rating 19.6

Miami (OH) is the model's favorite at 93%. Ball State has a 7% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for Miami (OH) — venue-specific learned value (n=43 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 29, 2025 · 11:00 AM CST
Venue
Yager Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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