2025 Week 14 FINAL · Conference game
Toledo at Central Michigan
Saturday, November 29, 2025 · 11:00 AM CST
Kelly/Shorts Stadium
21
Toledo
Final
3
Central Michigan
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 21 |
| Central Michigan | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
GIE pre-game call: Toledo at 82%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Toledo
Mid-American
- Record
- 8-5
- Rating
- 6.0
- National rank
- 48
- Proj. wins
- 8.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Central Michigan
Mid-American
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- -8.8
- National rank
- 100
- Proj. wins
- 5.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Toledo
82%
Central Michigan
18%
Central Michigan 90% CI: 13% – 24% Δ rating 14.8
Toledo is the model's favorite at 82%. Central Michigan has a 18% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Central Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=45 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 29, 2025 · 11:00 AM CST
- Venue
- Kelly/Shorts Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No