2025 Week 14 FINAL · Conference game
Ohio at Buffalo
Friday, November 28, 2025 · 11:00 AM CST
UB Stadium
31
Ohio
Final
26
Buffalo
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio | 7 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 |
| Buffalo | 0 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 26 |
GIE pre-game call: Buffalo at 52%. Miss.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Ohio
Mid-American
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- -4.0
- National rank
- 84
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Buffalo
Mid-American
- Record
- 5-7
- Rating
- -7.5
- National rank
- 95
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Ohio
48%
Buffalo
52%
Buffalo 90% CI: 43% – 61% Δ rating 3.5
Buffalo is the model's favorite at 52%. Ohio has a 48% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.2 rating points baked in for Buffalo — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 28, 2025 · 11:00 AM CST
- Venue
- UB Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No