2025 Week 13 FINAL · Conference game
Ball State at Toledo
Saturday, November 22, 2025 · 1:00 PM CST
Glass Bowl
9
Ball State
Final
38
Toledo
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| Toledo | 14 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 38 |
GIE pre-game call: Toledo at 98%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Ball State
Mid-American
- Record
- 4-8
- Rating
- -23.0
- National rank
- 132
- Proj. wins
- 2.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Toledo
Mid-American
- Record
- 8-5
- Rating
- 6.0
- National rank
- 48
- Proj. wins
- 8.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Ball State
2%
Toledo
98%
Toledo 90% CI: 97% – 99% Δ rating 29.0
Toledo is the model's favorite at 98%. Ball State has a 2% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.5 rating points baked in for Toledo — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 22, 2025 · 1:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Glass Bowl
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No