2025 Week 13 FINAL · Conference game
Miami (OH) at Buffalo
Wednesday, November 19, 2025 · 6:00 PM CST
UB Stadium
37
Miami (OH)
Final
20
Buffalo
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (OH) | 0 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 37 |
| Buffalo | 3 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 20 |
GIE pre-game call: Buffalo at 50%. Miss.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Miami (OH)
Mid-American
- Record
- 7-7
- Rating
- -3.4
- National rank
- 82
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Buffalo
Mid-American
- Record
- 5-7
- Rating
- -7.5
- National rank
- 95
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Miami (OH)
50%
Buffalo
50%
Buffalo 90% CI: 41% – 60% Δ rating 4.1
Buffalo is the model's favorite at 50%. Miami (OH) has a 50% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.2 rating points baked in for Buffalo — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Wednesday, November 19, 2025 · 6:00 PM CST
- Venue
- UB Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No