2025 Week 12 FINAL · Conference game
Toledo at Miami (OH)
Wednesday, November 12, 2025 · 6:00 PM CST
Yager Stadium
24
Toledo
Final
3
Miami (OH)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 0 | 14 | 10 | 0 | 24 |
| Miami (OH) | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
GIE pre-game call: Toledo at 73%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Toledo
Mid-American
- Record
- 8-5
- Rating
- 6.0
- National rank
- 48
- Proj. wins
- 8.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Miami (OH)
Mid-American
- Record
- 7-7
- Rating
- -3.4
- National rank
- 82
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Toledo
73%
Miami (OH)
27%
Miami (OH) 90% CI: 20% – 35% Δ rating 9.4
Toledo is the model's favorite at 73%. Miami (OH) has a 27% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for Miami (OH) — venue-specific learned value (n=43 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Wednesday, November 12, 2025 · 6:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Yager Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No