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2025 Week 12 FINAL · Conference game

Northern Illinois at Massachusetts

Wednesday, November 12, 2025 · 6:00 PM CST

Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium

45
Northern Illinois
Final
3
Massachusetts
Team 1234 T
Northern Illinois 1021140 45
Massachusetts 0003 3

GIE pre-game call: Northern Illinois at 91%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Northern Illinois
Mountain West
Record
3-9
Rating
-16.7
National rank
128
Proj. wins
3.6
Playoff prob.
0%
Massachusetts
Mid-American
Record
0-12
Rating
-36.6
National rank
136
Proj. wins
1.4
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Northern Illinois
91%
Massachusetts
9%
Massachusetts 90% CI: 7% – 13% Δ rating 19.9

Northern Illinois is the model's favorite at 91%. Massachusetts has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for Massachusetts — venue-specific learned value (n=38 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Wednesday, November 12, 2025 · 6:00 PM CST
Venue
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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