2025 Week 12 FINAL · Conference game
Buffalo at Central Michigan
Wednesday, November 12, 2025 · 6:00 PM CST
Kelly/Shorts Stadium
19
Buffalo
Final
38
Central Michigan
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 3 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 19 |
| Central Michigan | 7 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 38 |
GIE pre-game call: Central Michigan at 54%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Buffalo
Mid-American
- Record
- 5-7
- Rating
- -7.5
- National rank
- 95
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Central Michigan
Mid-American
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- -8.8
- National rank
- 100
- Proj. wins
- 5.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Buffalo
46%
Central Michigan
54%
Central Michigan 90% CI: 45% – 63% Δ rating 1.3
Central Michigan is the model's favorite at 54%. Buffalo has a 46% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Central Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=45 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Wednesday, November 12, 2025 · 6:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Kelly/Shorts Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No