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2025 Week 12 FINAL · Conference game

Ohio at Western Michigan

Tuesday, November 11, 2025 · 7:00 PM CST

Waldo Stadium

13
Ohio
Final
17
Western Michigan
Team 1234 T
Ohio 7006 13
Western Michigan 3077 17

GIE pre-game call: Western Michigan at 66%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Ohio
Mid-American
Record
9-4
Rating
-4.0
National rank
84
Proj. wins
6.7
Playoff prob.
0%
Western Michigan
Mid-American
Record
10-4
Rating
-1.4
National rank
78
Proj. wins
6.9
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Ohio
34%
Western Michigan
66%
Western Michigan 90% CI: 57% – 74% Δ rating 2.6

Western Michigan is the model's favorite at 66%. Ohio has a 34% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Western Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Tuesday, November 11, 2025 · 7:00 PM CST
Venue
Waldo Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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