2025 Week 10 FINAL · Conference game
Buffalo at Bowling Green
Saturday, November 1, 2025 · 11:00 AM CDT
Doyt L. Perry Stadium
28
Buffalo
Final
3
Bowling Green
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 7 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 28 |
| Bowling Green | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
GIE pre-game call: Buffalo at 72%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Buffalo
Mid-American
- Record
- 5-7
- Rating
- -7.5
- National rank
- 95
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Bowling Green
Mid-American
- Record
- 4-8
- Rating
- -12.6
- National rank
- 113
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Buffalo
72%
Bowling Green
28%
Bowling Green 90% CI: 21% – 36% Δ rating 5.1
Buffalo is the model's favorite at 72%. Bowling Green has a 28% path. Home-field adjustment of +-2.5 rating points baked in for Bowling Green — venue-specific learned value (n=45 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 1, 2025 · 11:00 AM CDT
- Venue
- Doyt L. Perry Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No