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2025 Week 9 FINAL · Conference game

Ball State at Northern Illinois

Saturday, October 25, 2025 · 2:30 PM CDT

Huskie Stadium

7
Ball State
Final
21
Northern Illinois
Team 1234 T
Ball State 0700 7
Northern Illinois 7077 21

GIE pre-game call: Northern Illinois at 73%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Ball State
Mid-American
Record
4-8
Rating
-23.0
National rank
132
Proj. wins
2.9
Playoff prob.
0%
Northern Illinois
Mountain West
Record
3-9
Rating
-16.7
National rank
128
Proj. wins
3.6
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Ball State
27%
Northern Illinois
73%
Northern Illinois 90% CI: 65% – 80% Δ rating 6.3

Northern Illinois is the model's favorite at 73%. Ball State has a 27% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.6 rating points baked in for Northern Illinois — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 25, 2025 · 2:30 PM CDT
Venue
Huskie Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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