2025 Week 8 FINAL · Conference game
Buffalo at Massachusetts
Saturday, October 18, 2025 · 1:30 PM CDT
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
28
Buffalo
Final
21
Massachusetts
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 3 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 28 |
| Massachusetts | 0 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
GIE pre-game call: Buffalo at 97%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Buffalo
Mid-American
- Record
- 5-7
- Rating
- -7.5
- National rank
- 95
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Massachusetts
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-12
- Rating
- -36.6
- National rank
- 136
- Proj. wins
- 1.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Buffalo
97%
Massachusetts
3%
Massachusetts 90% CI: 2% – 5% Δ rating 29.1
Buffalo is the model's favorite at 97%. Massachusetts has a 3% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for Massachusetts — venue-specific learned value (n=38 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 18, 2025 · 1:30 PM CDT
- Venue
- Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No