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2025 Week 7 FINAL · Conference game

Toledo at Bowling Green

Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 11:00 AM CDT

Doyt L. Perry Stadium

23
Toledo
Final
28
Bowling Green
Team 1234 T
Toledo 14702 23
Bowling Green 07714 28

GIE pre-game call: Toledo at 93%. Miss.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Toledo
Mid-American
Record
8-5
Rating
6.0
National rank
48
Proj. wins
8.7
Playoff prob.
0%
Bowling Green
Mid-American
Record
4-8
Rating
-12.6
National rank
113
Proj. wins
4.4
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Toledo
93%
Bowling Green
7%
Bowling Green 90% CI: 5% – 9% Δ rating 18.6

Toledo is the model's favorite at 93%. Bowling Green has a 7% path. Home-field adjustment of +-2.5 rating points baked in for Bowling Green — venue-specific learned value (n=45 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 11:00 AM CDT
Venue
Doyt L. Perry Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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