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2025 Week 7 FINAL · Conference game

Ball State at Western Michigan

Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 2:30 PM CDT

Waldo Stadium

0
Ball State
Final
42
Western Michigan
Team 1234 T
Ball State 0000 0
Western Michigan 714714 42

GIE pre-game call: Western Michigan at 95%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Ball State
Mid-American
Record
4-8
Rating
-23.0
National rank
132
Proj. wins
2.9
Playoff prob.
0%
Western Michigan
Mid-American
Record
10-4
Rating
-1.4
National rank
78
Proj. wins
6.9
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Ball State
5%
Western Michigan
95%
Western Michigan 90% CI: 93% – 97% Δ rating 21.6

Western Michigan is the model's favorite at 95%. Ball State has a 5% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Western Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 2:30 PM CDT
Venue
Waldo Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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