2025 Week 14 FINAL · Conference game
Navy at Memphis
Thursday, November 27, 2025 · 6:30 PM CST
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
28
Navy
Final
17
Memphis
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navy | 0 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 28 |
| Memphis | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
GIE pre-game call: Memphis at 59%. Miss.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Navy
American Athletic
- Record
- 11-2
- Rating
- 6.2
- National rank
- 46
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Memphis
American Athletic
- Record
- 8-5
- Rating
- 7.6
- National rank
- 39
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Navy
41%
Memphis
59%
Memphis 90% CI: 50% – 68% Δ rating 1.4
Memphis is the model's favorite at 59%. Navy has a 41% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.5 rating points baked in for Memphis — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, November 27, 2025 · 6:30 PM CST
- Venue
- Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No