2025 Week 13 FINAL · Conference game
South Florida at UAB
Saturday, November 22, 2025 · 2:00 PM CST
Protective Stadium
48
South Florida
Final
18
UAB
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | 7 | 10 | 17 | 14 | 48 |
| UAB | 10 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 18 |
GIE pre-game call: South Florida at 94%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
South Florida
American Athletic
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 11.6
- National rank
- 29
- Proj. wins
- 8.9
- Playoff prob.
- 11%
UAB
American Athletic
- Record
- 4-8
- Rating
- -15.8
- National rank
- 125
- Proj. wins
- 3.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
South Florida
94%
UAB
6%
UAB 90% CI: 4% – 8% Δ rating 27.4
South Florida is the model's favorite at 94%. UAB has a 6% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.8 rating points baked in for UAB — venue-specific learned value (n=22 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 22, 2025 · 2:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Protective Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No