2025 Week 12 FINAL · Conference game
South Florida at Navy
Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 11:00 AM CST
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
38
South Florida
Final
41
Navy
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | 3 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 38 |
| Navy | 14 | 10 | 0 | 17 | 41 |
GIE pre-game call: South Florida at 57%. Miss.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
South Florida
American Athletic
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 11.6
- National rank
- 29
- Proj. wins
- 8.9
- Playoff prob.
- 11%
Navy
American Athletic
- Record
- 11-2
- Rating
- 6.2
- National rank
- 46
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
South Florida
57%
Navy
43%
Navy 90% CI: 34% – 53% Δ rating 5.4
South Florida is the model's favorite at 57%. Navy has a 43% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.2 rating points baked in for Navy — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 11:00 AM CST
- Venue
- Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No