2025 Week 12 FINAL · Conference game
Memphis at East Carolina
Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 3:00 PM CST
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
27
Memphis
Final
31
East Carolina
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis | 0 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 27 |
| East Carolina | 7 | 3 | 14 | 7 | 31 |
GIE pre-game call: East Carolina at 60%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Memphis
American Athletic
- Record
- 8-5
- Rating
- 7.6
- National rank
- 39
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
East Carolina
American Athletic
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 8.0
- National rank
- 38
- Proj. wins
- 8.0
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Memphis
40%
East Carolina
60%
East Carolina 90% CI: 51% – 69% Δ rating 0.4
East Carolina is the model's favorite at 60%. Memphis has a 40% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for East Carolina — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 3:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No