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2025 Week 11 FINAL · Conference game

Tulsa at Florida Atlantic

Saturday, November 8, 2025 · 2:00 PM CST

FAU Stadium

21
Tulsa
Final
40
Florida Atlantic
Team 1234 T
Tulsa 06123 21
Florida Atlantic 102136 40

GIE pre-game call: Florida Atlantic at 62%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Tulsa
American Athletic
Record
4-8
Rating
-10.0
National rank
104
Proj. wins
5.1
Playoff prob.
0%
Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
Record
4-8
Rating
-8.7
National rank
98
Proj. wins
4.5
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Tulsa
38%
Florida Atlantic
62%
Florida Atlantic 90% CI: 53% – 70% Δ rating 1.3

Florida Atlantic is the model's favorite at 62%. Tulsa has a 38% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Florida Atlantic — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 8, 2025 · 2:00 PM CST
Venue
FAU Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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