2025 Week 11 FINAL · Conference game
UTSA at South Florida
Thursday, November 6, 2025 · 6:30 PM CST
Raymond James Stadium
23
UTSA
Final
55
South Florida
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTSA | 3 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 23 |
| South Florida | 14 | 31 | 10 | 0 | 55 |
GIE pre-game call: South Florida at 77%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
UTSA
American Athletic
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- 3.7
- National rank
- 62
- Proj. wins
- 6.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
South Florida
American Athletic
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 11.6
- National rank
- 29
- Proj. wins
- 8.9
- Playoff prob.
- 11%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UTSA
23%
South Florida
77%
South Florida 90% CI: 70% – 83% Δ rating 7.9
South Florida is the model's favorite at 77%. UTSA has a 23% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.7 rating points baked in for South Florida — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, November 6, 2025 · 6:30 PM CST
- Venue
- Raymond James Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No