2025 Week 9 FINAL · Conference game
South Florida at Memphis
Saturday, October 25, 2025 · 11:00 AM CDT
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
31
South Florida
Final
34
Memphis
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | 14 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 31 |
| Memphis | 7 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 34 |
GIE pre-game call: South Florida at 58%. Miss.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
South Florida
American Athletic
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 11.6
- National rank
- 29
- Proj. wins
- 8.9
- Playoff prob.
- 11%
Memphis
American Athletic
- Record
- 8-5
- Rating
- 7.6
- National rank
- 39
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
South Florida
58%
Memphis
42%
Memphis 90% CI: 33% – 52% Δ rating 4.0
South Florida is the model's favorite at 58%. Memphis has a 42% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.5 rating points baked in for Memphis — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 25, 2025 · 11:00 AM CDT
- Venue
- Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No