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2025 Week 8 FINAL · Conference game

Florida Atlantic at South Florida

Saturday, October 18, 2025 · 6:30 PM CDT

Raymond James Stadium

13
Florida Atlantic
Final
48
South Florida
Team 1234 T
Florida Atlantic 3370 13
South Florida 7141017 48

GIE pre-game call: South Florida at 94%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
Record
4-8
Rating
-8.7
National rank
98
Proj. wins
4.5
Playoff prob.
0%
South Florida
American Athletic
Record
9-4
Rating
11.6
National rank
29
Proj. wins
8.9
Playoff prob.
11%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Florida Atlantic
6%
South Florida
94%
South Florida 90% CI: 92% – 96% Δ rating 20.3

South Florida is the model's favorite at 94%. Florida Atlantic has a 6% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for South Florida — venue-specific night-game value (n=49 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 18, 2025 · 6:30 PM CDT
Venue
Raymond James Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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