2025 Week 8 FINAL · Conference game
Tulsa at East Carolina
Thursday, October 16, 2025 · 6:30 PM CDT
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
27
Tulsa
Final
41
East Carolina
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa | 7 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 27 |
| East Carolina | 10 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 41 |
GIE pre-game call: East Carolina at 94%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Tulsa
American Athletic
- Record
- 4-8
- Rating
- -10.0
- National rank
- 104
- Proj. wins
- 5.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
East Carolina
American Athletic
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 8.0
- National rank
- 38
- Proj. wins
- 8.0
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Tulsa
6%
East Carolina
94%
East Carolina 90% CI: 92% – 96% Δ rating 18.0
East Carolina is the model's favorite at 94%. Tulsa has a 6% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.7 rating points baked in for East Carolina — venue-specific night-game value (n=51 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, October 16, 2025 · 6:30 PM CDT
- Venue
- Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No