2025 Week 14 FINAL · Conference game
South Alabama at Texas State
Saturday, November 29, 2025 · 2:00 PM CST
Bobcat Stadium (TX)
26
South Alabama
Final
49
Texas State
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 26 |
| Texas State | 10 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 49 |
GIE pre-game call: Texas State at 88%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
South Alabama
Sun Belt
- Record
- 4-8
- Rating
- -12.7
- National rank
- 114
- Proj. wins
- 1.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Texas State
Pac-12
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- 2.3
- National rank
- 65
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
South Alabama
12%
Texas State
88%
Texas State 90% CI: 84% – 92% Δ rating 15.0
Texas State is the model's favorite at 88%. South Alabama has a 12% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.1 rating points baked in for Texas State — venue-specific learned value (n=52 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 29, 2025 · 2:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Bobcat Stadium (TX)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No