2025 Week 14 FINAL · Conference game
Troy at Southern Miss
Saturday, November 29, 2025 · 2:30 PM CST
M. M. Roberts Stadium
28
Troy
Final
18
Southern Miss
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 28 |
| Southern Miss | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 |
GIE pre-game call: Troy at 57%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Troy
Sun Belt
- Record
- 8-6
- Rating
- -4.8
- National rank
- 87
- Proj. wins
- 1.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Southern Miss
Sun Belt
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- -7.1
- National rank
- 94
- Proj. wins
- 1.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Troy
57%
Southern Miss
43%
Southern Miss 90% CI: 34% – 52% Δ rating 2.3
Troy is the model's favorite at 57%. Southern Miss has a 43% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.1 rating points baked in for Southern Miss — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 29, 2025 · 2:30 PM CST
- Venue
- M. M. Roberts Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No