2025 Week 14 FINAL · Conference game
Arkansas State at App State
Saturday, November 29, 2025 · 1:30 PM CST
Kidd Brewer Stadium
30
Arkansas State
Final
29
App State
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State | 3 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 30 |
| App State | 3 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 29 |
GIE pre-game call: Arkansas State at 52%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Arkansas State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- -8.8
- National rank
- 100
- Proj. wins
- 0.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
App State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 5-8
- Rating
- -11.4
- National rank
- 111
- Proj. wins
- 1.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Arkansas State
52%
App State
48%
App State 90% CI: 38% – 57% Δ rating 2.6
Arkansas State is the model's favorite at 52%. App State has a 48% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for App State — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 29, 2025 · 1:30 PM CST
- Venue
- Kidd Brewer Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No