2025 Week 13 FINAL · Conference game
Georgia State at Troy
Saturday, November 22, 2025 · 3:00 PM CST
Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
19
Georgia State
Final
31
Troy
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State | 0 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 19 |
| Troy | 0 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 31 |
GIE pre-game call: Troy at 91%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Georgia State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 1-11
- Rating
- -24.5
- National rank
- 133
- Proj. wins
- 0.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Troy
Sun Belt
- Record
- 8-6
- Rating
- -4.8
- National rank
- 87
- Proj. wins
- 1.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Georgia State
9%
Troy
91%
Troy 90% CI: 87% – 94% Δ rating 19.7
Troy is the model's favorite at 91%. Georgia State has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +-1.3 rating points baked in for Troy — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 22, 2025 · 3:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No