2025 Week 13 FINAL · Conference game
Louisiana at Arkansas State
Thursday, November 20, 2025 · 6:30 PM CST
Centennial Bank Stadium
34
Louisiana
Final
30
Arkansas State
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana | 7 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 34 |
| Arkansas State | 10 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 30 |
GIE pre-game call: Arkansas State at 61%. Miss.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Louisiana
Sun Belt
- Record
- 6-7
- Rating
- -10.1
- National rank
- 105
- Proj. wins
- 1.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Arkansas State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- -8.8
- National rank
- 100
- Proj. wins
- 0.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Louisiana
39%
Arkansas State
61%
Arkansas State 90% CI: 52% – 69% Δ rating 1.3
Arkansas State is the model's favorite at 61%. Louisiana has a 39% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.3 rating points baked in for Arkansas State — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, November 20, 2025 · 6:30 PM CST
- Venue
- Centennial Bank Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No