2025 Week 12 FINAL · Conference game
Texas State at Southern Miss
Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 2:30 PM CST
M. M. Roberts Stadium
41
Texas State
Final
14
Southern Miss
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State | 10 | 17 | 0 | 14 | 41 |
| Southern Miss | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
GIE pre-game call: Texas State at 77%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Texas State
Pac-12
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- 2.3
- National rank
- 65
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Southern Miss
Sun Belt
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- -7.1
- National rank
- 94
- Proj. wins
- 1.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Texas State
77%
Southern Miss
23%
Southern Miss 90% CI: 17% – 31% Δ rating 9.4
Texas State is the model's favorite at 77%. Southern Miss has a 23% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.1 rating points baked in for Southern Miss — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 2:30 PM CST
- Venue
- M. M. Roberts Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No