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2025 Week 12 FINAL · Conference game

Marshall at Georgia State

Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 1:00 PM CST

Center Parc Stadium

30
Marshall
Final
18
Georgia State
Team 1234 T
Marshall 71409 30
Georgia State 7380 18

GIE pre-game call: Marshall at 91%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Marshall
Sun Belt
Record
5-7
Rating
-4.5
National rank
86
Proj. wins
0.6
Playoff prob.
0%
Georgia State
Sun Belt
Record
1-11
Rating
-24.5
National rank
133
Proj. wins
0.8
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Marshall
91%
Georgia State
9%
Georgia State 90% CI: 6% – 12% Δ rating 20.0

Marshall is the model's favorite at 91%. Georgia State has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for Georgia State — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 1:00 PM CST
Venue
Center Parc Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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