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2025 Week 12 FINAL · Conference game

Troy at Old Dominion

Thursday, November 13, 2025 · 6:30 PM CST

S.B. Ballard Stadium

0
Troy
Final
33
Old Dominion
Team 1234 T
Troy 0000 0
Old Dominion 101067 33

GIE pre-game call: Old Dominion at 86%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Troy
Sun Belt
Record
8-6
Rating
-4.8
National rank
87
Proj. wins
1.0
Playoff prob.
0%
Old Dominion
Sun Belt
Record
10-3
Rating
5.9
National rank
49
Proj. wins
2.4
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Troy
14%
Old Dominion
86%
Old Dominion 90% CI: 81% – 90% Δ rating 10.7

Old Dominion is the model's favorite at 86%. Troy has a 14% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for Old Dominion — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Thursday, November 13, 2025 · 6:30 PM CST
Venue
S.B. Ballard Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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