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2025 Week 11 FINAL · Conference game

Texas State at Louisiana

Saturday, November 8, 2025 · 4:00 PM CST

Cajun Field

39
Texas State
Final
42
Louisiana
Team 1234 T
Texas State 107319 39
Louisiana 72807 42

GIE pre-game call: Texas State at 70%. Miss.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Texas State
Pac-12
Record
7-6
Rating
2.3
National rank
65
Proj. wins
5.9
Playoff prob.
0%
Louisiana
Sun Belt
Record
6-7
Rating
-10.1
National rank
105
Proj. wins
1.9
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Texas State
70%
Louisiana
30%
Louisiana 90% CI: 23% – 39% Δ rating 12.4

Texas State is the model's favorite at 70%. Louisiana has a 30% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.8 rating points baked in for Louisiana — venue-specific night-game value (n=50 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 8, 2025 · 4:00 PM CST
Venue
Cajun Field
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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