2025 Week 11 FINAL · Conference game
Southern Miss at Arkansas State
Saturday, November 8, 2025 · 11:00 AM CST
Centennial Bank Stadium
27
Southern Miss
Final
21
Arkansas State
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss | 10 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 27 |
| Arkansas State | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 21 |
GIE pre-game call: Arkansas State at 52%. Miss.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Southern Miss
Sun Belt
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- -7.1
- National rank
- 94
- Proj. wins
- 1.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Arkansas State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- -8.8
- National rank
- 100
- Proj. wins
- 0.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Southern Miss
48%
Arkansas State
52%
Arkansas State 90% CI: 43% – 61% Δ rating 1.7
Arkansas State is the model's favorite at 52%. Southern Miss has a 48% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.3 rating points baked in for Arkansas State — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 8, 2025 · 11:00 AM CST
- Venue
- Centennial Bank Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No