2025 Week 10 FINAL · Conference game
Arkansas State at Troy
Saturday, November 1, 2025 · 7:00 PM CDT
Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
23
Arkansas State
Final
10
Troy
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State | 17 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 23 |
| Troy | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 |
GIE pre-game call: Troy at 58%. Miss.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Arkansas State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- -8.8
- National rank
- 100
- Proj. wins
- 0.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Troy
Sun Belt
- Record
- 8-6
- Rating
- -4.8
- National rank
- 87
- Proj. wins
- 1.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Arkansas State
42%
Troy
58%
Troy 90% CI: 49% – 67% Δ rating 4.0
Troy is the model's favorite at 58%. Arkansas State has a 42% path. Home-field adjustment of +-1.3 rating points baked in for Troy — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 1, 2025 · 7:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No