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2025 Week 9 FINAL · Conference game

UL Monroe at Southern Miss

Saturday, October 25, 2025 · 2:30 PM CDT

M. M. Roberts Stadium

21
UL Monroe
Final
49
Southern Miss
Team 1234 T
UL Monroe 7707 21
Southern Miss 7141414 49

GIE pre-game call: Southern Miss at 86%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

UL Monroe
Sun Belt
Record
3-9
Rating
-21.6
National rank
131
Proj. wins
1.0
Playoff prob.
0%
Southern Miss
Sun Belt
Record
7-6
Rating
-7.1
National rank
94
Proj. wins
1.2
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

UL Monroe
14%
Southern Miss
86%
Southern Miss 90% CI: 81% – 90% Δ rating 14.5

Southern Miss is the model's favorite at 86%. UL Monroe has a 14% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.1 rating points baked in for Southern Miss — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 25, 2025 · 2:30 PM CDT
Venue
M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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