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2025 Week 9 FINAL · Conference game

Georgia Southern at Arkansas State

Saturday, October 25, 2025 · 6:00 PM CDT

Centennial Bank Stadium

24
Georgia Southern
Final
34
Arkansas State
Team 1234 T
Georgia Southern 14703 24
Arkansas State 710710 34

GIE pre-game call: Arkansas State at 64%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
Record
7-6
Rating
-9.4
National rank
103
Proj. wins
0.9
Playoff prob.
0%
Arkansas State
Sun Belt
Record
7-6
Rating
-8.8
National rank
100
Proj. wins
0.8
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Georgia Southern
36%
Arkansas State
64%
Arkansas State 90% CI: 55% – 72% Δ rating 0.6

Arkansas State is the model's favorite at 64%. Georgia Southern has a 36% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.0 rating points baked in for Arkansas State — venue-specific night-game value (n=47 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 25, 2025 · 6:00 PM CDT
Venue
Centennial Bank Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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